Scott's brother reacting to the article.
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Scott's brother reacting to the article.
Summary?—?Twitter is shadow banning high profile accounts, generally populist accounts. Twitter has every right to “censor,” of course, with an exception. It is shareholder fraud to censor popular accounts, as this harms company growth. Jack Dorsey must take Twitter private or else tell his shareholders the truth?—?Twitter censors accounts that are critical of Hillary Clinton. (Even Bernie Sanders supporters have been shadow banned.)
Twitter is a publicly-traded corporation and thus its CEO Jack Dorsey has fiduciary obligations to his shareholders. Twitter is not Jack’s private little Super PAC. If Jack wants to censor influential and popular users, then he must disclose this to shareholders. He must tell them the truth, “I don’t care about shareholder value. I want to run Twitter like my personal blog and Super PAC.”
How is this any better than China creating bases on its own islands?
Here’s the basic problem.
Kids as young as eleven have smartphones. That situation won’t change.
A kid with a smartphone has access to any illegal drug in the world, as well as all the peer pressure in the world.
Pills are small, cheap, odorless, widely available, and nearly impossible for a parent to find in a bedroom search. When you have this situation, the next generation is lost.
That is our current situation.
After the hilarious Rachel Maddow face-plant on live television, with her scoop on President Trump’s 2005 taxes – all two pages of it – the big question in the news today is about who leaked it.
Most of the remaining problems in the world are information problems in disguise. For example, our politicians in the United States are trying to figure out how to provide health insurance to low-income people without breaking the budget.
It looks impossible, at least with our political system as it stands.
So I thought I would help.
Twitter has been hacked, although the direct cause is unknown.
Thousands of accounts per hour were posting the following message:
? #Nazialmanya????#Nazihollanda Bu size ufakbir????#OSMANLITOKADI #16Nisan da görü?mek üzere Nemi yazd?m????????Türkçe Ö?REN #RT
The hacked accounts also posted a link to a video in Turkish.
The other day, President Trump declared that “President Obama was tapping my phones in October, just prior to Election!”
Then the world went nuts.
Former CIA Director James Clapper denied that Trump was wiretapped, saying, "There was no such wiretap activity mounted against the president, the president-elect at the time, or as a candidate, or against his campaign,“
Yet we know General Flynn was in Trump Tower when his conversation with the Russian diplomat were recorded.
In Russia, a new nuclear weapon is being prepared for the final stage of tests: the Barguzin combat railway missile system, based on its predecessor, the BZhRK “Molodets” (SS-24 Scalpel), which stood on alert from 1987 to 2005 and Was removed from the arsenal by agreement with the United States of 1993. What forced Russia to return to the creation of these weapons?
I will bet anyone $1 million dollars that I can come up with a climate forecast model that ignores C02 and still predicts the temperature 30 years from now to within half a degree. Does anyone want to take that bet?
At the moment, the in-person college experience is superior to taking classes online. Today, online teaching is mostly simple videos of people talking and pointing at things. But that advantage of in-person college over online classes won’t last forever. The in-person experience will stay largely as it is, but online lessons will evolve indefinitely toward better techniques, more content, and more scientifically-proven methods. Best practices will propagate quickly online.
Only three things are missing to make this vision of universal free online college a reality:
Note: Twitter is hiding my tweets about politics from my followers, so I use the code word “kittens” in those tweets to beat their censorship bot.
Here’s a funny article by David Wong of Cracked that talks about the dopamine high we sometimes get from outrage. The gist of it is that the brain gets some sort of chemical payoff from outrage, and we seek it when we’re otherwise bored with life. Politics serves up lots of outrage opportunities. That’s why we are drawn to it – for the high.
WSDOT spokeswoman Barbara LaBoe says the budget is based on historical data, but this winter has strained the department’s stores of road salt and de-icing solution.
I recently tweeted a link to my blog post that is unflattering to the proponents of climate science. I have 138,000 Twitter followers. My traffic from Twitter to my blog in a recent minute was only 14 people, while overall traffic from other sources was its usual robust self. For non-controversial topics, my Twitter-driven traffic for a tweet to my blog would be 200-300 per minute in the half-hour after a tweet. On this topic, it hovered between 10-14.
Here is the best (and weirdest) example of cognitive dissonance you will ever see. The set-up is that Bill Nye, an engineer by training, and a proponent of science, is defending climate science on Tucker’s show.
I wrote a song about it. Now here it goes!
Today I declare the climate science “debate” to be mostly an illusion.
You think you live in a world in which there are climate science skeptics on one side of the debate, and climate scientists, plus their believers, on the other side. And you think they are talking about the same thing.
That isn’t what’s happening. It’s mostly an illusion.
I mean this literally. You perceive a debate, but that is mostly a shared hallucination.
Washington State had no problems with federally funded, WestNET, to destroy medical marijuana patients' lives for years!
Washington State had no problems with federally funded, WestNET, to destroy medical marijuana patients' lives for years!
A video clip of George Takei apparently joking about child molestation has gone viral on Twitter, with many asking why the liberal outrage hasn’t followed.
Today was an awful day for Milo Yiannopoulos. He was on a trajectory to have his own show on FoxNews. Today he lost a shot at a show for the foreseeable future, a major breakthrough speaking gig, and a book deal. Dangerous had already pre-sold enough copies to make the New York Times best seller list and was on target to open at #1. It makes no sense to understate how bad Milo’s day was. Short of a family member dying or being a crime victim, today is about as bad as a day gets. That said, life always offers an opportunity for reflection and insight.
I recently stumbled upon a way to nudge anti-Trump zombies off the idea that 97% of climate scientists agree with each other and Trump is on the wrong side. I’m not arguing about the accuracy of the estimate because I have nothing to compare it to. I’m only concerned that people are trusting the fate of the planet to that estimate without knowing how it was derived.
Starts at the 00:19 mark.
An online petition has more than 19,000 signatures as of February 19, with a goal of reaching 25,000. It launched after the socialist councilmember urged people to protest the election of Donald Trump on his inauguration day.
The group wants to send a message to Seattle Mayor Ed Murray that Sawant should be impeached because they believe it's not appropriate for elected officials to call for protests.
Sawant moved to Seattle in 2006 and became a Socialist Alternative party member. She became a United States citizen in 2010.
Thanks, Big O Tires. Don’t expect me to come back. #BigOTires
Officials say that the overabundance of water over the last 24 hours, the local creeks and canals were inundated and breached their banks. The Sheriff’s Office initiated voluntary evacuations for those who felt their safety was at risk.
The meltdown was fun to watch. Wilmore snapped. Milo laughed in his face.
Wilmore took the bait. Unhinged liberal civility. I thought comedians were supposed to be able to joke around? No wonder Wilmore’s comedy show was canceled.
Citizen journalist, Sean Dennis, has been making videos to keep the public updated on the situation at the Oroville Dam. While reporting in this latest Periscope video, he was informed that the sheriff’s department was looking for him because of his coverage.
For some reason, this video is unwatchable on Periscope's replay archive, so here it is.
An interesting article in The Atlantic talks about studies showing that liberals think in terms of fairness while conservatives think in terms of morality. So if you want to persuade someone on the other team, you need to speak in their language. We almost never do that. That’s why you rarely see people change their opinions.
The topic of under-reported terrorist attacks became a focal point after Kellyanne Conway, Trump counselor, erroneously referred to a “terrorist attack in Bowling Green” that never occurred. She subsequently clarified that she misspoke. The list furthers the Trump administration narrative that the “dishonest press” focuses on the wrong things and is hostile to the White House.
Here’s another Whencast that shows the number of persons wounded or killed in the 78 incidents.
Ignoring the politics of it for the moment, check out this video of Sam Harris debating Ben Affleck on Bill Maher’s Real Time show. I’ll teach you how to spot cognitive dissonance in the clip.
Watch for the moment Ben has to hallucinate Sam’s opinion from the reasonable position that many Muslims worldwide have non-liberal views to an hallucination about “All Muslims are bad.” Sam and Bill both clarify their viewpoints, with data, but Ben is struck deaf to it. All he can hear is the absurd absolute “all.” He is literally hallucinating.
Today’s news will be all about President Trump’s tense phone calls with the leaders of Australia and Mexico. The popular spin is that the president was rude and aggressive with both of them. Very unpresidential, say the critics. Maybe he is crazy! And orange! Chaos! Chaos! Chaos!
Another spin on the same observations is that both Australia and Mexico required their leaders to “stand up” to President Trump in a more aggressive way than you would expect with a normal president.
I keep seeing tweets and articles saying the odds of an immigrant killing a citizen of the United States are approximately zero. Obviously those calculations assume that our past experiences do a good job of predicting what happens next. And this is good news. Really, really, good news.
I made the mistake of turning on CNN yesterday and saw all the hypnotized pundits trying to work the secret persuasion word “chaos” into every comment about President Trump. That’s your tell that none of the pundits are offering independent opinions. They are part of the hive mind led by some uncredited persuader on their side. Someone told them to say “chaos” a lot, and so they do. This might signal the return of Godzilla. Reminds me of “dark,” their hive-mind word for the summer of 2016.
In a recent ruling, judges at the German Federal Supreme Court (BGH) confirmed that the measles virus does not exist. Furthermore, there is not a single scientific study in the world which could prove the existence of the virus in any scientific literature. This raises the question of what was actually injected into millions over the past few decades.
So much for scientific consensus.
All the silliness of the past year in one picture.
When Donald Trump ran for president he put his clear, simple message on the front of bright red hats. The message was perfect. The choice of a hat instead of a t-shirt or other garment was perfect. The color red was perfect for his message – bold, sexy, and important. The hats were a master class in branding and influence. Political historians will be referring to Trump’s hats for ages.
Compare that to the Million Woman March. They chose pink because – I assume – it is a bit of an ironic color for women who are fighting for their rights. Women are “owning” pink to rob it of its power to brand them as the so-called weaker sex. At least that’s why I assume they picked pink.
Costco will pay $11.75 million to settle allegations that some of its pharmacies improperly filled prescriptions for controlled substances and failed to properly track opioids and other dangerous drugs, the U.S. Justice Department said Thursday.
I just got done combing through a New York Times report titled, “Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year.” The number of relevant numbers in this article is: zero.
We are not told what the average global temperature was, how much higher this is than last year’s record or any previous records, or what the margin of error is supposed to be on those measurements. Instead, we get stuff like this.
A dating site that matches Trump-supporting singles is enjoying a spike in membership ahead of the president-elect’s inauguration Friday.
It seems to me that the big problem with the climate change debate is that no one would recognize a good argument if they saw one. We only think we have the ability to recognize a good argument. What actually happens is that cognitive dissonance and confirmation bias generally keep a wall between us and reality. We live in our own little movies in our heads while being sure everyone else is watching the same movie. They aren’t.
Here’s a thought experiment:
What was Trump’s biggest persuasion problem in the election?
Answer: His opponents did a great job of framing him as some kind of Hitler. Do a Google search on Trump and Hitler and you get an avalanche of comparisons.
It was sticky persuasion, and it still hangs over the country like a chorus of stale farts. I’ve said before that half the country believe they are living in 1930s Germany and the other half think we got a better economy and some free entertainment. Those are two completely different movies running on the same screen at the same time. So how does the Master Persuader deal with the second-largest case of national cognitive dissonance in our history? (Slavery was first.)
President-elect Donald Trump’s team has ordered all politically appointed ambassadors in overseas posts to get out by Inauguration Day, several diplomats were cited saying in a new report published Thursday. Most diplomats interviewed in the New York Times report said it made perfect sense for Obama-appointed diplomats to leave their posts as the president they represent leaves his, but no one could recall an instance when such a strict timeline was used.
The State Department previously told all politically appointed ambassadors to submit their resignations by Jan. 20, though they had the option of seeking to extend their term.
Worst. Persuasion. Ever. Someone needs to do an intervention. This is officially embarrassing.
I’ve been saying in this blog for some time that we can’t tax and budget our way to a better future. We need to work on dramatically lowering the average cost of a high-quality lifestyle. Technology can make that happen if the right startups are nurtured.
I have been blogging at The Dalton Minimum Returns about the return of the next grand minimum since 2006. I have written about climate change and it’s implications at NC Media Watch for seven years. I have decided it is time to terminate both of these blogs and focus just on The Next Grand Minimum.
Yesterday I kicked the hornet’s nest by suggesting that no scientist really believes that complicated models with lots of variables can reliably predict the future. This is a subset of my larger point that no non-scientist can evaluate the claims of climate science because BOTH sides look 100% convincing to the under-informed.
So how did the public respond to my claim that BOTH sides of the debate look convincing? They berated me for not sufficiently researching materials from ONE side of the debate that happens to be their side. Many people suggested that I could simply do some homework, on my own, and get to the bottom of climate science.
That is a massive public illusion.
I keep hearing people say that 97% of climate scientists are on the same side of the issue. Critics point out that the number is inflated, but we don’t know by how much. Persuasion-wise, the “first offer” of 97% is so close to 100% that our minds assume the real number is very high even if not exactly 97%.
I’m hearing a lot of chatter about President Trump potentially creating a “Muslim registry,” which, as it turns out, already exists. The current system only registers non-residents from certain countries. But how hard would it be for the government to figure out all of our religious beliefs – citizens and non-citizens alike — without asking?
My guess is that the government already uses Big Data to determine our religious beliefs and more. Consider all the information they have.
Last year around this time, SpaceX pulled off the feat of launching a rocket and then having it return safely to Earth after sending its cargo into space. The milestone got plenty of news coverage at the time, but National Geographic TV has now released a video with a compelling inside angle: It shows SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and his employees watching the launch unfold—"this is bad," says Musk at one point, worried about impending failure—complete with jubilant celebration.
States with medical-marijuana laws have fewer traffic fatalities than those without, especially among younger drivers, a new study has found.
Side note: The Washington Post has forgotten how to capitalize titles.
Experts say ISIS can’t be beaten by military means alone. You have to get to the “deep” causes. Here are two experts saying just that, including a former head of the CIA. The problem is that observers seem to have different ideas of what is at the root of it all.
I often hear from people who are on one side or the other on the topic of climate change. And I think I spotted a new cognitive phenomenon that might not have a name.* I’ll call it cognitive blindness, defined as the inability to see the strong form of the other side of a debate.
The setup for cognitive blindness looks like this . . . .
About half of the citizens of the United States think they elected a president who will “drain the swamp” in Washington DC and negotiate good trade deals for the public. But the other half believes they are living in 1930s Germany and the next Hitler just came to office. Those are very different movies, yet we all sit in the same theater at the same time. It’s trippy.
I realize that science can change its mind, of course. Saying something is “true” in a scientific sense always leaves open the option of later reassessing that view if new evidence comes to light. Something can be “true” according to science while simultaneously being completely wrong. Science allows that odd situation to exist, at least temporarily, while we crawl toward truth.
So when I say I agree with the scientific consensus on climate change, I’m endorsing the scientific consensus for the same reason I endorsed Hillary Clinton for the first part of the election – as a strategy to protect myself. I endorse the scientific consensus on climate change to protect my career and reputation. To do otherwise would be dumb, at least in my situation.
Tasers are not non-lethal.
Watch Bill jumping up and down like a little kid! -- "Yay! Interns at the sex-mansion again!"
Protesters: Gender is NOT reason for your hysteria.
This week we learned that Jewish institutions insist upon the Protestant Church apologising for its founder’s views of the Jews. The Jewish Algemeiner writes that “the 500th anniversary of the Reformation would be the ‘perfect time’ for Protestant leaders to recognise and apologise for the ‘horrific antisemitism’ of their movement’s founder, Martin Luther.”
How did you know this would play out like a movie?
About a year ago I started telling you in this blog that the Trump journey to the presidency would play out like a great movie script. And it did. Movies generally have three acts:
Act 1: The hero’s life abruptly changes.
Act 2: The hero encounters and solves one problem after another, in an entertaining fashion.
Act 3: The hero faces a seemingly insurmountable problem.
Finale: Against all odds, the hero succeeds.
In a new video investigating voter fraud released by Project Veritas Action Fund (PVA), a plot to bus impoverished voters – – told who to vote for – to the polls is caught on hidden camera.
Today I teach you how to unhypnotize a Clinton supporter.
Keep in mind that the strongest form of persuasion is fear. Clinton’s team of persuaders has convinced her followers that Trump is dangerous. If you remove that part of her spell, Trump wins. Here’s how.
This can be a companion video for Scott’s blog post: Candidate Risk Assessment.
"I thought you were an eagle, but you were a hawk chasing rockets in the sky . . . ."
I engineered the offending tweet to make the point that ISIS appears to prefer a Clinton presidency. That puts Clinton’s supporters on the same side as ISIS, at least in the narrow sense that they might prefer the same candidate. That creates a conflict between Clinton supporters’ self-image as good people and the uncomfortable reality that they might prefer the same candidate as ISIS. If my point is credible, the predicted result is that it would induce cognitive dissonance and a literal hallucination.
And it did.
The takeaway here is that my message about Clinton supporters being bullies is effective persuasion. Otherwise I would be ignored. This reframing is a kill shot because the bullies themselves are philosophically opposed to bullies. Once they realize they have been persuaded by Clinton’s campaign to become the thing they hate, the spell will be broken. And they won’t show up to vote.
This can be a companion video to Scott’s blog post: I Score the Third Debate.
There will almost certainly be election rigging for the same reason there has been debate rigging. If you don’t believe me about debate rigging, ask a woman who did some of that debate rigging herself. Allegedly. Unless it was Russia’s fault.
Here’s a little thought experiment for you:
If a friend said he could see a pink elephant in the room, standing right in front of you, but you don’t see it, which one of you is hallucinating?
Answer: The one who sees the pink elephant is hallucinating.
“So, you think the GOP sabotaged it’s own candidate?”
Listen to Jack Posobiec of "Citizens for Trump" relate the incredible story of deceit and intrigue behind the GOP's attempted coup over Donald Trump and our movement!"
Everybody needs to share this!
The national weather service in missoula has issued a winter storm warning...which is in effect from late sunday night through Monday evening.
I just watched the debate on replay. Trump won bigly. This one wasn’t close. And keep in mind that I called Clinton the winner of the first debate, and I now endorse Gary Johnson, primarily to avoid being called an alleged enabler of alleged sex abusers and their alleged enablers. That basket of deplorables includes both Bill and Hillary Clinton (the alleged doer and the alleged cleaner-upper) plus Trump and his alleged misdeeds.
Some quick reactions…
By now you know about the Access Hollywood recording in which Donald Trump said bad things eleven years ago. Many of my readers asked me to weigh in. One of the requests came from anti-Trump GOP elite person Erick Erickson. (Middle name Erick, I assume.) This was his polite request and my response. Read it from bottom to top.
Scott then goes on to explain taxes and economics to his Periscope audience!
This can also be a companion video for Scott’s blog posts: Presidential Temperament and The Week I Became a Target.
The future of the ISIS Caliphate has been clear (to me) since at least 2003 when I wrote my sequel to God’s Debris, titled The Religion War. In the book, I predicted the rise of a Caliphate in that general area, endless “small” terrorist attacks in the United States, and the eventual walling-in of the Caliphate to stop the “idea” of ISIS from spreading.
Here’s how you kill an idea:
“We’re on the cusp of something here that I think is much bigger than just electing the President. There is a complete change of awareness. I think there’s like a fundamental shift of awareness that’s happening now.”
Do you remember way—-way—-way—back in July, when the public thought Trump was the candidate they couldn’t trust with the nuclear arsenal? That was before we realized he could moderate his personality on command, as he is doing now. We’re about to enter our fifth consecutive week of Trump doing more outreach than outrage.
It turns out that Trump’s base personality is “winning.” Everything else he does is designed to get that result. He needed to be loud and outrageous in the primaries, so he was. He needs to be presidential in this phase of the election cycle, so he is.
Trump gave his much-awaited Immigration speech last night. I’ll let the fact-checkers tell you how much of it was based on reality. That’s not my department. I will focus on how persuasive it was, not the politics.
Trump needed to undo the persuasion that Clinton’s side has been laying on the public for months. Specifically, Trump needed to demonstrate that he is…
1. Not crazy.
2. Not uninformed.
3. Not the wrong temperament to lead.
4. Not scary.
5. Not racist.
By my scorecard, Trump achieved all five objectives in the eyes and of his core supporters, and 3-out-of-5 with his opponents. I’ll break it down.
He had been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma in 1989.
Yes, I know a Twitter survey with a non-random sample has no scientific validity. And yes, I know my followers are not representative of the public. And yes, I know the survey question leads the witness.
Still, I found this interesting from a persuasion perspective: